Roger Douglas
My new book is out. 'No Second Class Citizens outlines my vision for NZ to rid ourselves of the poverty trap we have now. For a free copy of my new book, please email heidi.bale@parliament.govt.nz
Information
Country:
New Zealand

Current Office

Office:
Member of Parliament
Party:
ACT New Zealand
 
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas It's that time again. If you have some spare time on your hands tomorrow night (Wednesday) come down to The Back Bencher pub to watch a special edition of Backbenches. The focus is on the economy and the line up includes: Myself, David Cunliffe, Aaron Gilmore and Russel Norman. It should be a good show. Its starts at 9pm, but get there early to get a seat.

Yesterday at 2:42pm
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
Yes it is in Wellington.
12 hours ago
Tanya
Tanya
Thanks. Time I made a visit. Good luck with it, Roger.
2 hours ago
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas 20 years ago today the Berlin Wall fell.

As Milton Friedman once said, "There is no more dramatic way in which people can vote than with their feet. The fact that East Germany had to build a wall to keep people from going to West Germany is striking evidence of which country had the better conditions of life."

Source: www.youtube.com
ABC news reports on the fall of the Berlin Wall
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
I stumbled across this short video of Hayek discussing the central problem of socialism: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNbYdbf3EEc&feature=related
about an hour ago
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas Should we try and tax capital? Should we try and tax capital gain or the asset base? If so, should households have a tax free threshold for capital and what should that level be? How would an asset tax affect investment decisions?

October 29 at 1:39pm
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
I want tax to be as low as possible - and I also want the deadweight loss associated with tax to be low as well.
November 5 at 3:24pm
Daniel Stratton
Daniel Stratton
Wasn't this the idea when you originally introduced GST? To replace income tax in order to stop tax avoidance? IT is generally accepted that Tax has to purposes, to generate revenue and to help discourage certain habits or behaviours. I think every Citizen has a responsibility to pay tax, it is part of living in a communal society. It is ... Read Moreunfortunate though that I think the original intent has been somewhat skewed by a "robin hood" (steal from the rich to give to the poor) mentality as well as a "let's take as much as we can, and THEN decide how we want to spend it" attitude IMHO this should be reversed to "let's see how much we need to spend, then find out how to generate it"
November 6 at 3:29pm
Roger Douglas
The time for tinkering around the edges is over and comprehensive action must now be taken in order to lift our economic fortunes and prevent New Zealand's downward spiral into debt, ACT New Zealand Finance Spokesman Sir Roger Douglas said today, following the release of Treasury's Long-Term Fiscal...
Shane Pleasance
Shane Pleasance
And sadly, it is only the productive who take the trouble to study the situation. Seeing no future, flee.
October 29 at 9:39pm
David McCurdy
David McCurdy
It is about wealth creation and the facilitation thereof. We must encourage the best of the worlds businesses and immigrants here. There is no economic growth when our culture allows our best to go overseas and assist other economies. The big OE sends so many of our youngsters overseas. This is key, keep our best people here and encourage the best the world has to offer here. Create wealth and encourage the creation of wealth, rhetoric about people on benefits is just unproductive.
October 31 at 9:01pm
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas On the revenue side we have managed to design a system where all taxes are below 20 percent. I would like to hear your ideas on the tax system you would like.

October 28 at 1:49pm
Mohammed Abdullah Alqumber
Mohammed Abdullah Alqumber
and to Jimmy and Andrew, I think we need to all start trusts, including charitable trusts, to feed and cloth all our families and unemployed, and compete with the govt. and by the way, the govt is made of the same people of the country, the hippies, lefties, right.. you name it.. so lest all have the same rights I say and full stop.
October 29 at 2:05am
Daniel Stratton
Daniel Stratton
I think I have already mentioned my tax system but i'm going to post it again:

1) Where-ever possible all govt dept's are changed to SOE's (having in their charter they must be at least 51% Govt owned)

... Read More

Benefit - GOVT departments become more efficient,



regulation is achieved by the govt having a



company in every sector (thus the perfect



anti-monopoly) the ownership means that



we can still enjoy the benfits of foreign



capital without losing control.

2) Govt set's and cap's a level of revenue as a % of GDP. Ideally money is set aside for the GOVT to act as a prudent investor, investing capital into starting buisnesses that can either be completely free to New Zealander's or to be sold off to make profit for the taxpayer.

3) GOVT then prioritises where the revenue is gathered from, (this is where policy comes into play) ideally, only the top taxes on the list are needed to generate the required revenue, and the other's are only used if required.

My list: (a completely uneducated pluck, only to be taken as an example

-Profit from SOE's/investments
-Pollution TAX's
-Dissensentive TAX's (ie alchohol, tobacco etc)
-GST
-Company TAX
-Personal Income TAX (flat rate)

Either way the attitude of tax and spend (ie how much can we tax and how much can we spend?) need's to end.

I liken it to the two main types of consumers, those who spend everything they get and live pay to pay, and those who put some money away, invest it and are able to enjoy a better lifestyle on the profit from their investments.
October 30 at 12:13am
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas What's important when you set a budget is whether the trend line for expenditure is likely to go down as a percentage of GDP rather than up over time. I am certain that my alternative budget will do that. Expenditure will start at 27 percent of GDP compared to 38 percent now with a trend line heading towards 15 percent over the next 10 years.

Roger Douglas
The Injury Prevention, Rehabilitation and compensation Amendment Bill does not reform ACC. This Bill keeps ACC in its current form, continues to fund ACC through compulsory levies, and does not apply ongoing commercial pressure to its operation...
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
We can have a na fault system and private insurance. The Government does not provide fire insurance, but if an arsonist burns down my house, I cannot sue him.
October 29 at 5:27pm
Shaggy Sheep
Shaggy Sheep
Rodger, I have extensive knowledge of the ACC scheme. I agree that opening up the work account to private insurers because, especially for self-employed.shareholder/ employees, they do not really understand what their levies provide in way of cover and entitlements should they suffer an injury. Private insurers are more likely to provide that ... Read Moreinformation when trying sell a policy.
However, and this is the biggest issue I have, is that it is VERY EASY (and trust me on this one) for the Insurer (whether it be ACC or a private insurer) to take advantage of the injured worker who becomes incapacitated by providing less than adequate rehabilitation then exiting them from the scheme. In this respect the injured worker is not in a position to shop around for another insurer.
Therefore, there needs to be a robust dispute process to deal with this problem. The current dispute process reasonably well and offers a degree of independent quality control of decision-making on entitlements and cover. The Government will need to ensure the dispute process is reinforced and not erroded. Otherwise MP's up and down the country can expect to be dealing with even more unhappy claimants coming to see them. So the trade off is, yes open it up to competition but ensure quality control of decisions thru a robust dispute process.
November 4 at 2:58pm
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas It seems all of you want lower taxes. ACT agrees. To lower taxes we need to lower expenditure. The Government currently spends approximately 39 percent of GDP. As a first step we want to get that down to 25 percent. In what areas do you think we should cut expenditure?

October 26 at 2:20pm
Daniel Stratton
Daniel Stratton
wasn't there a study done about the optimum amount of GDP that can be spent? It was in one of Richard Prebble's book's, the story goes that the report was shelved and the researcher fired.

Please correct me if im wrong? but wouldn't a drop in tax, given a perioid of time, result in equal revenue in dollar terms after said period? due to the increase in economic activity?

If I am correct then surely a cut back in capital expenditure for that period would suffice?... Read More

I do have to agree that effenciency is paramount, re-role all department's as SOE's?
October 28 at 12:52am
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
A drop in tax rates can increase total revenue. This phenomenon is represented by the Laffer Curve, named after the economist Arthur Laffer: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laffer_curve

It seems unlikely that New Zealand's tax rates are at that point. It should be noted, however, that the Laffer Curve only looks at revenue - but actual revenue raised... Read More is not the full cost of taxation. Moreover, the optimal point on the Laffer Curve is not the maximum revenue point, but lower down (see http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIqyCpCPrvU&feature=player_embedded#at=13)

The main reason for this is because the cost of taxes is not just the revenue raised. The full cost of taxation includes all the deadweight loss associated with it - all the ways that it affects our behaviour, all the fees for lawyers and accountants to restructure people's affairs to lower the tax burden. The estimated full cost of raising a marginal dollar is actually about $1.50, but it varies depending on the study.
October 28 at 3:16am
Adamski Jones

Adamski Jones sill question but is this really sir Roger?

October 23 at 11:21pm · Report
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
Yep. As proof, my page on the ACT website links here:

http://www.act.org.nz/roger-douglas
October 24 at 5:45am
Tanya
Tanya
That's good to know. I like the interactiveness of this page, the responses, the lack of one-way traffic!
October 26 at 2:47pm
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas In about three weeks' time we will be putting out an alternative budget. What ideas would you like us to consider? Where can cuts to Government spending be made? Is there a better way to raise tax revenue? All ideas are welcome.

October 22 at 2:53pm
Dennis Ent
Dennis Ent
"tax on hip hop "music" to discourage its consumption" LOL
October 23 at 8:34pm
Cathy
Cathy
Scrap Bill English. That's a good start right there.
October 28 at 11:12pm
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas had a good time on Back Benches last night. If you didn't manage to get there last night you can watch the show online here: http://tvnz.co.nz/back-benches/video

October 21 at 3:42pm
John White
John White
Tanya, there was one held in Auckland on the 14th September, with Rodney on the panel of MPs
October 22 at 5:51am
Tanya
Tanya
well, no one told me!
October 22 at 1:21pm
Roger Douglas

Roger Douglas Come join me at The Backbencher tomorrow (Wednesday) at 8:30 PM for the live filming of Back Benches. We'll be talking about ACC, tax, and smoking. Stick around afterwards for a drink or two.

October 19 at 2:32pm
Dennis Ent
Dennis Ent
"This country is going down the drain" amen to that!
October 21 at 2:53am
Dennis Ent
Dennis Ent
Your absolutely right Roger. When will NZers wake up to the fact the 15years without surplus will cripple this country. And by that time we will be in the next recession = without ACTs policies NZ will never again make a surplus.
October 21 at 3:00am
Alex Fogerty

Alex Fogerty Sir Roger, can you please explain why Australia is borrowing lots of money from China to stimulate their economy while at the same time raising interest rates, which as far as I know slows down the economy? Does the Rudd government fear some sort of flow on effect from low interest rates for a long period of time?

October 19 at 6:04am · Report
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
I have not been following Australia as closely as I have been following America's issues, but my understanding is this:

Australia has not entered recession, and seems unlikely to do so. This is not because of the stimulus, as most of the money has yet to come online, and to the extent a stimulus is financed by deficits then the permanent income hypothesis would tend to suggest that it will not have much effect.

The stimulus spending will unfortunately increase the overall size of Government permanently. All large expansions of the Government - be it post-depression, or Keynesian spending in the 50s and 60s - has permanently increased the overall size of Government. Mainly, reforming Governments have managed to stop rather than reverse the growth of the state.... Read More

In terms of increasing interest rates, I would make the point that low interest rates do not necessarily imply easy money. In fact, some economists see the relationship acting in the opposite way (http://www.american.com/archive/2009/october/have-we-misdiagnosed-the-crisis). I think it is hard to determine the looseness of monetary policy by examing only interest rates.
October 19 at 3:03pm
Alex Fogerty
Alex Fogerty
Thanks Sir Roger, you've given me much to think about.
October 20 at 2:48am
Dennis Ent

Dennis Ent
Hi Roger, what are your ideas on legalisation of, and ending the war on drugs?
Like Milton Friedman proposed, if we made drugs legal we could free up the prisons, which are over-populated anyway, and lock up real criminals.
Crime would plummet as it would end the monopoly gang’s have over drugs. And free up police reso...urces.
If P was legal its price would plummet and its users would not have to steal and rob other New Zealanders to finance their habit. It would halve the current crime rate overnight. Also if this were Act Party policy you would attract votes from the pot smoking Greens! Win win!
Read More

October 17 at 8:53pm · Report
Roger Douglas
Roger Douglas
Hi Dennis,

I am aware of those arguments for a more liberal approach to drug laws (a good video is available here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nLsCC0LZxkY).

There are two points I would make. First, I think New Zealand is better than the US at enforcing our drug laws - primarily because we have no land borders. Second, drug addiction is a terrible thing, and it is a matter of weighing the unintended consequences of prohibition against the possible increases in the number of people addicted, and the costs that arise therefrom. I have not seen sufficient evidence on this issue to make up my mind. ... Read More

What do you all think?
October 19 at 5:36pm