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...What Will the Winter be Like?...

That's the question on everyone's mind. Unfortunately, we don't have a good answer! We are going into a weak El Nino, which is supposed to persist into mid-winter and gradually weaken late February into March. These graphics show what Caribou and Bangor have experienced in the past during El Nino winters for temperature and precipitation. Specifically, these gr...
aphics are for Dec/Jan/Feb. As you can see, the below normal and above normal bars for temperature and precipitation are pretty much exactly the same! In other words, based on El Nino, we have little skill in predicting whether the winter will be mild vs cold, or wet vs dry, for Maine. The official outlook from the Climate Prediction Center is pretty similar to this except it slightly favors warmer than normal temperatures over colder than normal temperatures.
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