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Join us in Toronto on 24-25 September for our annual investment conference and meet some of the most innovative minds in finance and economics. http://interactive.bcaresearch.com/social-investment-confer…

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Join us live today at 15:30 BST / 16:30 CET to learn the latest news on #mifid from our experts and guest speakers www.twitter.com/bca_mifid

Dow 20,000? – Another great call by BCA Research http://bit.ly/2hgbKi9

Dow 20,000? – Another Great Call By BCA Research December 12, 2016 By BCA Research It was the spring of 1999 when the late Professor Charles Kindleberger spoke at our Miami conference. At 89 years of age, he eloquently explained why bull markets are usually born in pessimism, grow in skepticism and…
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What are the global equity sector winners and losers when inflation climbs? http://bit.ly/2haA45x

What Are The Global Equity Sector Winners And Losers When Inflation Climbs? December 8, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou President-elect Trump and the specter of his spendthrift policy proposals have generated significant client interest/inquiries on equities and inflation – not asset prices, but of the…
blog.bcaresearch.com

Are emerging markets sending a warning signal for cyclical vs. defensive stocks? http://bit.ly/2fQu0KA

Are Emerging Markets Sending A Warning Signal For Cyclical Vs. Defensive Stocks? December 1, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou The abrupt jump in cyclical vs. defensive share price ratio appears to have been driven solely by external forces, i.e. the sell-off in the bond market, rather than a shift in und...
blog.bcaresearch.com

Can stocks, yields, and the dollar climb together for a lot longer? http://bit.ly/2gSTPPc

Can Stocks, Yields, And The Dollar Climb Together For A Lot Longer? November 29, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou Momentum may carry the market higher in the short run, but from current valuation levels, stocks, the dollar and bond yields can only climb sustainably in tandem if a noninflationary economic...
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Trump Cards: What hand have investors been dealt? http://bit.ly/2flvkG6

Trump Cards: What Hand Have Investors Been Dealt? November 17, 2016 By Caroline Miller Markets have rushed to conclude that the Trump administration will unshackle developed world economies from the secular growth stagnation that has depressed equilibrium interest rates and bond yields since the fin...
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Is U.S. Financials/Bank Outperformance Vs. the Eurozone and Japan sustainable? http://bit.ly/2fOaLmI

Is U.S. Financials/Bank Outperformance Vs. The Eurozone And Japan Sustainable? November 14, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou U.S. banks are very well capitalized, while euro area banks remain woefully undercapitalized. The dichotomy in credit quality/NPLs and NIMs is as wide as ever between the U.S. and…
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Is there more downside for the S&P500? http://bit.ly/2fy3tC6

From Greed To Fear November 7, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou The gaping mismatch between fundamentals and broad market valuations remains intact, but will be in jeopardy of re-converging should the Fed signal an intention to tighten monetary conditions through next year. As previously outlined, our vi...
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Brothers in Arms http://bit.ly/2fa6xVX

Brothers In Arms November 1, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou The European armament dynamics of the late-19th century/early 20th century are eerily reminiscent of the current post-Great Recession global arms race. Back then Germany, Austria-Hungary and Italy on one side, and Britain, France and Russia on...
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Can global cyclicals vs. defensives green shoots turn into a full blossom? http://bit.ly/2e89S8l

Can Global Cyclicals vs. Defensives Green Shoots Turn into a Full Blossom? October 21, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou There is growing evidence that China and the emerging markets (EM) are turning. This has implications for our global defensive over cyclical portfolio tilt, and we are putting the globa...
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Can the S&P 500 continue rising alongside the U.S. dollar? http://bit.ly/2dWCd1O

Can The S&P 500 Continue Rising Alongside The U.S. Dollar? October 13, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou Conventional wisdom dictates that the stock market needs a depreciating currency in order to advance, especially given the foreign exposure of S&P 500 constituents. Empirical evidence, however, clearly...
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Buy volatility heading into October http://bit.ly/2dSAkFJ

Buy Volatility Heading Into October October 5, 2016 By Anastasios Avgeriou Volatility typically spikes in October. History suggests that a replay is probable. The charts summarize the findings of the last 7 presidential election cycles going back to 1988. We used VIX data for the past 6 cycles and V...
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